Humble Goode Financial | Blog

In 2023, central banks tightened policy severely, hoping their actions would return their economies to normal without causing a sharp recession in the process. We think policymakers will largely achieve their goals in 2024 and 2025, and we will let historians decide whether this was by luck or good judgment. We think labor markets, wage growth and inflation will return to somewhere near normal levels as a period of policy-induced weak growth rebalances labor markets and economies as a whole.