Aussie dollar hits decade low after RBA cuts rate to 0.75%
The Reserve Bank has driven its official cash rate below 1 per cent for the first time as it battles to head off rising unemployment and stimulate a stalling economy. The cut, of 25 basis points to 0.75 per cent, is the RBA's third cut since June and comes after jobs data showed the unemployment rate had risen to 5.3 per cent from 4.9 per cent at the start of the year.
The move came as little surprise, with markets pricing in an 80-per-cent chance of a cut following recent speeches from RBA governor Philip Lowe, highlighting concerns about not only low wages growth and unemployment but the impact rate cuts overseas could have in driving up the Australian dollar to uncompetitive levels.
The big banks passed on around 80 per cent of the 50 basis points of cuts in June and July, but are not being so generous this time.The CBA, Australia's biggest home lender, was the first to move, passing on a little more than half the cut. CBA edged down its key rates for owner occupiers by 0.13 per cent per annum to 4.80 per cent. Investors with principal and interest standard variable rate (SVR) home loans also received a 0.13-per-cent cut to 5.38 per cent, while investors paying interest-only loans were rewarded with the full 0.25-percentage-point cut.
More cuts in the pipeline
RBA governor Philip Lowe said in a statement accompanying the decision more work may need to be done to support the economy.
"The Board will continue to monitor developments, including in the labour market, and is prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed to support sustainable growth in the economy, full employment and the achievement of the inflation target over time," Dr Lowe said.
Earlier this year the RBA confirmed it was looking to drive the unemployment rate down to 4.5 per cent, a level which it considers to be "full employment".
The RBA has also been frustrated by its inability to lift inflation, which has consistently undershot the 2-3 per cent band for more than three years.
"The Board took the decision to lower interest rates further today to support employment and income growth and to provide greater confidence that inflation will be consistent with the medium-term target," Mr Lowe said.
"The Board also took account of the forces leading to the trend to lower interest rates globally and the effects this trend is having on the Australian economy and inflation outcomes."
Home loans start falling
A number of small lenders slashed their variable home loans within minutes of the decision, leaving the bigger banks in their wake.
Homestar Finance and Athena Home Loans both passed on the full 0.25 per cent, while Reduce Home Loans cut its lowest variable rate by 0.20 per cent, but for new customers only.
However, RateCity chief executive Paul Marshall said with rates already so low, some banks will find it hard to pass Tuesday's cut on in full.
"It's a juggling act between the interests of savers, borrowers and shareholders, especially now interest rates are in uncharted territory," Mr Marshal said.
On RateCity figures, the average homeowner with a $400,000 mortgage could save up to $57 a month and $682 a year if the 0.25 rate cut is passed on in full.
Dollar slides towards decade low
CBA chief economist Michael Blythe said the RBA's statement hints at more cuts in the pursuit of full employment.
"While today's cut had been well-telegraphed, the debate about the desirability of the move has heated up," Mr Blythe said."Our view for a while now has been that interest rate cuts are of limited use. Mr Blythe noted the RBA was growing increasingly anxious about the global economy, a theme common to all central banks at present and underlies the shift from rate rises in 2018 to rate cuts in 2019.
"The global race to the bottom is, in a sense, dragging the RBA along. Failure to participate could see the Australian [dollar] move higher."
The RBA would no doubt be somewhat pleased with the market's reaction to Tuesday's announcement. After an initial spike, the dollar started retreating down to a decade low of 67.0 US cents (at 4:20pm AEST).
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-10-01/rba-cuts-rate-to-new-low-of-0.75pc/11562908